Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Macara host Libertad in the Liga Pro. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Libertad have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Macara have conceded 0.75 and scored 0.5. Head-to-head, Macara have won 4 to Libertad's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.88 - 0.75) back Macara to edge this. Macara in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Macara has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Libertad.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Macara.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Pro provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Macara | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Macara Compare
Libertad Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Macara scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Libertad let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Macara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Libertad lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | 43 |
| 2 | Aucas | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 21:16 | 32 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20:13 | 30 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19:14 | 28 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18:20 | 27 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 7 | Macara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Emelec | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 14:17 | 24 |
| 9 | Tecnico U. | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 11 | Orense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | 23 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | 22 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 23:27 | 21 |
| 14 | Libertad | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:25 | 18 |
| 15 | Delfin | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10:18 | 17 |
| 16 | Manta | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 7:23 | 13 |