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Macara vs Santos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Macara Logo

Macara

0 - 0
FT
Santos Logo

Santos

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Gustavo Henrique
46'
Sub
Ananias Bento J. P. In: Rollheiser B.
Out: Ananias Bento J. P.
46'
Sub
Fernandes D. In: Rafael Gonzaga
Out: Fernandes D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Macara
15%
Draws
31%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Macara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Macara's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Macara have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Macara Clean Sheet 68%
Santos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macara Santos
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.34 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Macara vs Santos
0:0
Aug 13, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santos vs Macara
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macara 68 / 100
Santos 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macara Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macara's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Santos has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Macara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macara VS Santos
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macara

(Home)
11 Oct
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Macara
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
Page 1 of 6

Santos

(Away)
11 Oct
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Santos
08 Oct
Santos
2 : 2
Flamengo RJ
02 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Santos
19 Sept
Remo
1 : 2
Santos
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2
Santos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -