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Macara vs Santos

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Gustavo Henrique
46'
Sub
Ananias Bento J. P. In: Rollheiser B.
Out: Ananias Bento J. P.
46'
Sub
Fernandes D. In: Rafael Gonzaga
Out: Fernandes D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Macara
35%
Draws
32%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Macara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Macara have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Macara Clean Sheet 19%
Santos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macara Santos
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.32 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Macara vs Santos
0:0
Aug 13, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santos vs Macara
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macara 32 / 100
Santos 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macara Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macara's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Santos has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Macara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macara VS Santos
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macara

(Home)
20 Aug
Macara
0 : 0
Santos
18 Aug
Macara
1 : 1
U. Catolica
13 Aug
Santos
2 : 1
Macara
09 Aug
Barcelona SC
1 : 2
Macara
02 Aug
Macara
2 : 1
Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 6

Santos

(Away)
23 Aug
Santos
1 : 1
Mirassol
20 Aug
Macara
0 : 0
Santos
16 Aug
Vasco
0 : 3
Santos
13 Aug
Santos
2 : 1
Macara
09 Aug
Santos
0 : 2
Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Santos -
Montevideo City -
Cienciano -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -