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Macarthur Rams vs Hurstville Zagreb

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
06:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Macarthur Rams host Hurstville Zagreb in the NSW League One. This one's hard to separate. Macarthur Rams have averaged 1.38 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Hurstville Zagreb's 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Hurstville Zagreb slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.06) point toward Hurstville Zagreb. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Macarthur Rams
22%
Draws
18%
Hurstville Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Macarthur Rams

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Macarthur Rams lately — more wins on the board than Hurstville Zagreb.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Macarthur Rams taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 20%
Hurstville Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur Rams Hurstville Zagreb
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NSW League One
Hurstville Zagreb vs Macarthur Rams
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur Rams 58 / 100
Hurstville Zagreb 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur Rams Hurstville Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Macarthur Rams stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Macarthur Rams found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Hurstville Zagreb has conceded goals in 79% of their last 24 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur Rams VS Hurstville Zagreb
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur Rams

(Home)
17 Jul
Prospect United
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
10 Jul
Macarthur Rams
1 : 1
Bankstown City Lions FC
04 Jul
Macarthur Rams
3 : 2
Inter Lions
27 Jun
Macarthur Rams
1 : 1
Hakoah Sydney
20 Jun
Newcastle Jets U23
0 : 1
Macarthur Rams
Page 1 of 6

Hurstville Zagreb

(Away)
17 Jul
Hurstville Zagreb
3 : 1
Dulwich Hill
11 Jul
Hakoah Sydney
1 : 1
Hurstville Zagreb
03 Jul
Hurstville Zagreb
1 : 2
Canterbury Bankstown FC
27 Jun
Hurstville Zagreb
2 : 1
Hills United
20 Jun
Bulls Academy
4 : 1
Hurstville Zagreb
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans24165360:3153
2Northern Tigers23127441:2143
3Bankstown City Lions FC24134745:3743
4Macarthur Rams24126632:2542
5Canterbury Bankstown FC24125757:3941
6Rydalmere Lions24107737:3437
7Hills United24106842:3936
8Bulls Academy241031144:3933
9Hakoah Sydney2479841:4030
10Hurstville Zagreb24861037:3930
11Central Coast U2323761039:4527
12Inter Lions24741329:4625
13Newcastle Jets U2324581145:5523
14Dulwich Hill24581127:4723
15Western City Rangers24541529:4819
16Prospect United242121023:4318
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)