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Macarthur Rams vs Hurstville Zagreb

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Soravia P.
63' Event
Sheldon D.
74' Event
Lacalandra A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Hurstville Zagreb in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hurstville Zagreb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Macarthur Rams
15%
Draws
0%
Hurstville Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macarthur Rams

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Macarthur Rams lately — more wins on the board than Hurstville Zagreb.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Macarthur Rams taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 20%
Hurstville Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur Rams Hurstville Zagreb
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Hurstville Zagreb
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 NSW League One
Hurstville Zagreb vs Macarthur Rams
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur Rams Compare

Top Goalscorer Soravia P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hurstville Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Sheldon D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur Rams 85 / 100
Hurstville Zagreb 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur Rams Hurstville Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macarthur Rams Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macarthur Rams's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hurstville Zagreb conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Hurstville Zagreb registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur Rams VS Hurstville Zagreb
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur Rams

(Home)
29 Aug
Canterbury Bankstown FC
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
08 Aug
Dulwich Hill
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
01 Aug
Bulls Academy
0 : 1
Macarthur Rams
Page 1 of 6

Hurstville Zagreb

(Away)
28 Aug
Prospect United
3 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
21 Aug
Blacktown Spartans
6 : 2
Hurstville Zagreb
16 Aug
Central Coast U23
1 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
08 Aug
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
01 Aug
Hurstville Zagreb
1 : 3
Northern Tigers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)