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Macau U23 vs Policia

Macao Macao

Elite League 2015
Macau U23 Logo

Macau U23

1 - 3
FT
Policia Logo

Policia

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2015 game between Macau U23 and Policia finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Policia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Macau U23
15%
Draws
85%
Policia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Macau U23 haven't matched Policia's recent run of results.
  • Policia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Macau U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Policia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau U23 Policia
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 1 9
Draws 0 5
Losses 29 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.19
Goals Conceded 4.8 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 3.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2019 Elite League
Policia vs Macau U23
2:1
Apr 12, 2019 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Policia
0:4
May 13, 2017 Elite League
Policia vs Macau U23
0:2
Feb 25, 2017 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Policia
0:0
May 16, 2015 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Policia
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau U23 10 / 100
Policia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau U23 Policia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Policia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macau U23 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Policia conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Policia has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Macau U23 VS Policia
0.17 Goals Scored 1
5.67 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
83% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Laos U23
3 : 1
Macau U23
06 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 5
Indonesia U23
03 Sept
South Korea U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
12 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
09 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 3
Kuwait U23
Page 1 of 6

Policia

(Away)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 15 2 1 76:9 47
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 15 1 2 71:16 46
3 Must IPO 18 11 2 5 50:28 35
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 39:14 35
5 Sporting Macau 18 10 4 4 41:24 34
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 26:42 19
7 Policia 18 4 3 11 17:40 15
8 Chuac Lun 18 4 2 12 17:70 14
9 Casa de Portugal 18 3 3 12 22:66 12
10 Macau U23 18 0 1 17 8:58 1
Promotion - AFC Cup 2016 (Qualification)