Sport Picks

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Macau vs Bhutan

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Namgyel T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Macau and Bhutan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bhutan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Macau
15%
Draws
85%
Bhutan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bhutan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Macau haven't matched Bhutan's recent run of results.
  • Macau are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Macau Clean Sheet 68%
Bhutan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau Bhutan
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 3 5
Draws 2 2
Losses 22 22
Goals Scored 0.59 0.55
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2023 Friendly International
Macau vs Bhutan
0:1
Nov 20, 2018 Friendly International
Bhutan vs Macau
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Bhutan Compare

Top Goalscorer Namgyel T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau 95 / 100
Bhutan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau Bhutan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bhutan has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Bhutan registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Macau found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Macau VS Bhutan
0.29 Goals Scored 0.25
2.57 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
19 Mar
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Macau
14 Dec
Macau
1 : 2
Guam
10 Sept
Macau
0 : 1
Brunei
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Bhutan

(Away)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
04 Jun
Cambodia
4 : 0
Bhutan
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Yemen
7 : 1
Bhutan
13 Nov
India
6 : 1
Bhutan
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