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Macau vs Guam

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Morimoto L. M.
41' Event
Lei C.
73' Event
Taitague A.

AI Match Summary

Guam in this EAFF E-1 Football Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Macau
6%
Draws
90%
Guam
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Macau haven't matched Guam's recent run of results.
  • Guam are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Macau Clean Sheet 14%
Guam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau Guam
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 3 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.25 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2024 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Macau vs Guam
1:2
Sep 4, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Macau vs Guam
2:0
Jul 21, 2014 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Guam vs Macau
0:0
Sep 29, 2012 Friendly International
Macau vs Guam
0:3
Jul 22, 2012 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Guam vs Macau
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Lei C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Guam Compare

Top Goalscorer Morimoto L. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taitague A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau 10 / 100
Guam 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau Guam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guam let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Guam lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Macau scored in 41% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Macau VS Guam
0.25 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
19 Mar
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Macau
14 Dec
Macau
1 : 2
Guam
10 Sept
Macau
0 : 1
Brunei
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Guam

(Away)
06 Jun
Myanmar
6 : 1
Guam
03 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Guam
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
26 Mar
Puerto Rico
4 : 0
Guam
22 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
0 : 8
Guam
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guam11002:13
2Macau10011:20
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hong Kong22005:16
2Chinese Taipei21015:23
3Mongolia20020:70
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship (Play Offs)