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Macau vs Guam

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Macau Logo

Macau

1 - 2
FT
Guam Logo

Guam

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Morimoto L. M.
41' Event
Lei C.
73' Event
Taitague A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guam in this EAFF E-1 Football Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Macau
15%
Draws
85%
Guam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Macau haven't matched Guam's recent run of results.
  • Guam are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Macau Clean Sheet 14%
Guam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau Guam
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 3 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.59 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2024 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Macau vs Guam
1:2
Sep 4, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Macau vs Guam
2:0
Jul 21, 2014 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Guam vs Macau
0:0
Sep 29, 2012 Friendly International
Macau vs Guam
0:3
Jul 22, 2012 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Guam vs Macau
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Lei C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Guam Compare

Top Goalscorer Morimoto L. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taitague A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau 10 / 100
Guam 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau Guam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guam let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Guam lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Macau scored in 41% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Macau VS Guam
0.25 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
19 Mar
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Macau
14 Dec
Macau
1 : 2
Guam
10 Sept
Macau
0 : 1
Brunei
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Guam

(Away)
06 Jun
Myanmar
6 : 1
Guam
03 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Guam
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
26 Mar
Puerto Rico
4 : 0
Guam
22 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
0 : 8
Guam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guam 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Macau 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hong Kong 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Chinese Taipei 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
3 Mongolia 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship (Play Offs)