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Macau vs Northern Mariana Islands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

East Asian Championship 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
45' Event
65' Event

AI Match Summary

The East Asian Championship 2015 game between Macau and Northern Mariana Islands finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Northern Mariana Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Macau
15%
Draws
85%
Northern Mariana Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Northern Mariana Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macau come out ahead of Northern Mariana Islands on wins alone.
  • Northern Mariana Islands are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this East Asian Championship 2015 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Macau Clean Sheet 12%
Northern Mariana Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau Northern Mariana Islands
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 6 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 23 22
Goals Scored 1 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.26 4.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Northern Mariana Islands vs Macau
1:1
Jul 2, 2016 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Northern Mariana Islands vs Macau
1:3
Jul 23, 2014 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Macau vs Northern Mariana Islands
1:2
Jul 20, 2012 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Northern Mariana Islands vs Macau
1:5
Mar 11, 2009 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Macau vs Northern Mariana Islands
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau 22 / 100
Northern Mariana Islands 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau Northern Mariana Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Mariana Islands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Northern Mariana Islands conceded in 96% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Northern Mariana Islands's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Macau scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Macau VS Northern Mariana Islands
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
19 Mar
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Macau
14 Dec
Macau
1 : 2
Guam
10 Sept
Macau
0 : 1
Brunei
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Northern Mariana Islands

(Away)
22 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
0 : 8
Guam
21 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
1 : 2
Guam
07 Apr
Northern Mariana Islands
2 : 1
Guam
06 Apr
Northern Mariana Islands
2 : 2
Guam
30 Nov
Northern Mariana Islands
1 : 4
Tuvalu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guam 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Macau 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Mongolia 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands 3 1 0 2 2:10 3
Promotion - East Asian Championship 2015 (Second stage)