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Macau vs Tanzania

World World

FIFA Series Kigali Pele Stadium, Kigali
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Amancio
Own Goal
26' Event
Mwamnyeto B.
Assist: Abraham M.
39'
Lawi L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-6. The second leg ended 0-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Macau
15%
Draws
85%
Tanzania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tanzania come out ahead of Macau on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tanzania a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Tanzania arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tanzania, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau Tanzania
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 3 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.59 1.04
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 FIFA Series
Macau vs Tanzania
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwamnyeto B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yahya M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau 10 / 100
Tanzania 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau Tanzania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanzania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Tanzania has conceded goals in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Away concern: Tanzania has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Macau scored in 41% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Macau VS Tanzania
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 13%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
19 Mar
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Macau
14 Dec
Macau
1 : 2
Guam
10 Sept
Macau
0 : 1
Brunei
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Tanzania

(Away)
25 Sept
Tanzania
0 : 2
Guinea Bissau
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Tanzania
0 : 1
Liechtenstein
04 Jan
Morocco
1 : 0
Tanzania
30 Dec
Tanzania
1 : 1
Tunisia
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

3rd place
American Samoa 0
Guam 6
Macau 0
Tanzania 6
Saint Kitts and Nevis 4
Solomon Islands 2
Grenada 0
Kenya 3