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Macau vs Tanzania

World World

FIFA Series Kigali Pele Stadium, Kigali
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Amancio
Own Goal
26' Event
Mwamnyeto B.
Assist: Abraham M.
39'
Lawi L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Tanzania advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Macau
6%
Draws
90%
Tanzania
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tanzania come out ahead of Macau on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tanzania a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Tanzania arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tanzania, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau Tanzania
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 3 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 FIFA Series
Macau vs Tanzania
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwamnyeto B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yahya M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau 10 / 100
Tanzania 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau Tanzania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Tanzania has conceded goals in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Macau found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (27 games).

Tanzania lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macau VS Tanzania
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 13%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
19 Mar
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Macau
14 Dec
Macau
1 : 2
Guam
10 Sept
Macau
0 : 1
Brunei
Page 1 of 6

Tanzania

(Away)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Tanzania
0 : 1
Liechtenstein
04 Jan
Morocco
1 : 0
Tanzania
30 Dec
Tanzania
1 : 1
Tunisia
27 Dec
Uganda
1 : 1
Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

3rd place
American Samoa0
Guam6
Macau0
Tanzania6
Saint Kitts and Nevis4
Solomon Islands2
Grenada0
Kenya3