Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Shmona

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Green Stadium, Nof HaGalil
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Elmkies I.
45' Event
Sefer A.
Assist: Damascan V.
46'
Sub
Vaier I. In: Darwish O.
Out: Vaier I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Maccabi Bnei Raina
15%
Draws
21%
Shmona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maccabi Bnei Raina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shmona lately — more wins on the board than Maccabi Bnei Raina.
  • Win probability leans Maccabi Bnei Raina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Maccabi Bnei Raina Clean Sheet 68%
Shmona Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Bnei Raina Shmona
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Shmona
1:1
Dec 30, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Shmona
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
3:1
Jul 30, 2025 Toto Cup
Shmona vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Bnei Raina Compare

Top Goalscorer Sefer A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Shmona Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugarriza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Bnei Raina 95 / 100
Shmona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Bnei Raina Shmona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Bnei Raina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Maccabi Bnei Raina found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Shmona let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Maccabi Bnei Raina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Bnei Raina VS Shmona
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Bnei Raina

(Home)
28 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 2
H. Raanana
17 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
0 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
06 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
31 Aug
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 2
SC Ashdod
Page 1 of 6

Shmona

(Away)
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Netanya 33 14 6 13 59:63 48
8 Shmona 33 11 7 15 50:53 40
9 Ironi Tiberias 33 12 8 13 45:56 36
10 Hapoel Haifa 33 8 10 15 39:51 34
11 Sakhnin 33 8 10 15 28:49 34
12 Hapoel Jerusalem 33 7 10 16 26:43 31
13 SC Ashdod 33 6 10 17 38:62 28
14 Maccabi Bnei Raina 33 6 4 23 26:69 22
Relegation - Leumit League (Main)