Sport Picks

Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Green Stadium

Maccabi Bnei Raina

1 - 1

Shmona

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Elmkies I.

45'

Sefer A.

Assist: Damascan V.

46'

Sub

Vaier I. In: Darwish O.

Out: Vaier I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Maccabi Bnei Raina

44%

Draws

20%

Shmona

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Shmona lately — more wins on the board than Maccabi Bnei Raina.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Maccabi Bnei Raina Clean Sheet 17%

Shmona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maccabi Bnei Raina	Shmona
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	8	10
Draws	3	6
Losses	19	13
Goals Scored	1	1.75
Goals Conceded	1	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Shmona

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Dec 30, 2025 Ligat ha'Al

Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Shmona

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Sep 13, 2025 Ligat ha'Al

Shmona vs Maccabi Bnei Raina

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Jul 30, 2025 Toto Cup

Shmona vs Maccabi Bnei Raina

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Mar 29, 2025 Ligat ha'Al

Shmona vs Maccabi Bnei Raina

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Bnei Raina Compare

Top Goalscorer Sefer A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Shmona Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugarriza A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Bnei Raina 36 / 100

Shmona 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maccabi Bnei Raina Shmona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Shmona conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Maccabi Bnei Raina scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Maccabi Bnei Raina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Bnei Raina VS Shmona

1 Goals Scored 1.75

1 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Netanya	33	14	6	13	59:63	48
8	Shmona	33	11	7	15	50:53	40
9	Ironi Tiberias	33	12	8	13	45:56	36
10	Hapoel Haifa	33	8	10	15	39:51	34
11	Sakhnin	33	8	10	15	28:49	34
12	Hapoel Jerusalem	33	7	10	16	26:43	31
13	SC Ashdod	33	6	10	17	38:62	28
14	Maccabi Bnei Raina	33	6	4	23	26:69	22