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Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Gonen Y.
31'
Gonen Y.
31'
Azoulay E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Maccabi Haifa
30%
Draws
23%
Hapoel Haifa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maccabi Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Haifa have won more games recently than Hapoel Haifa.
  • Win probability leans Maccabi Haifa's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Maccabi Haifa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Haifa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Maccabi Haifa Clean Sheet 16%
Hapoel Haifa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Haifa Hapoel Haifa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 2 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.86 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Toto Cup
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa
2:3
Jan 5, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Haifa
1:1
May 3, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa
1:5
Mar 29, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Haifa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Haifa Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalaili I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Azoulay E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hapoel Haifa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonen Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turgeman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Haifa 48 / 100
Hapoel Haifa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Haifa Hapoel Haifa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Haifa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Maccabi Haifa scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Hapoel Haifa has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Maccabi Haifa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Haifa VS Hapoel Haifa
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Haifa

(Home)
19 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
31 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Maccabi Haifa
22 Aug
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 1
Hapoel Ramat Gan
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Hapoel Haifa

(Away)
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
14 Sept
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 1
Sakhnin
07 Sept
Netanya
1 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
02 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 2
Hapoel Haifa
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shmona 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Hapoel Haifa 4 3 0 1 9:7 9
3 Maccabi Haifa 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
4 Ironi Tiberias 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
5 Sakhnin 4 0 0 4 2:6 0
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netanya 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 Hapoel Ramat Gan 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Hapoel Jerusalem 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
4 Maccabi Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Hapoel Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)