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Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Jerusalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Maccabi Haifa Logo

Maccabi Haifa

0 - 1
FT
Hapoel Jerusalem Logo

Hapoel Jerusalem

Our Tip

Match Events

40'
42'
Almagor O.
46'
Sub
Almagor O. In: Warsana N.
Out: Almagor O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Maccabi Haifa
15%
Draws
31%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maccabi Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Jerusalem haven't matched Maccabi Haifa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Maccabi Haifa's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Maccabi Haifa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Jerusalem, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Maccabi Haifa Clean Sheet 12%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Haifa Hapoel Jerusalem
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.8 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Toto Cup
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Jerusalem
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Haifa
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Jerusalem
2:2
Feb 17, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Jerusalem
3:3
Nov 8, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Haifa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Haifa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hapoel Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Dappa I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Haifa 65 / 100
Hapoel Jerusalem 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Haifa Hapoel Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Haifa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Haifa scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Jerusalem conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Maccabi Haifa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Haifa VS Hapoel Jerusalem
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Haifa

(Home)
19 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
31 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Maccabi Haifa
22 Aug
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 1
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Jerusalem

(Away)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Hapoel Haifa 4
H. Beer Sheva 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan 3
Beitar Jerusalem 4
Maccabi Haifa 0
Hapoel Jerusalem 1
Ironi Tiberias 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva 3
Sakhnin 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva 0