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Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Varela H.
Assist: Sahiti E.
24'
Azoulay E.
33'
Revivo R.

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Tel Aviv in this Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Maccabi Haifa
11%
Draws
9%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Maccabi Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Maccabi Haifa haven't matched Maccabi Tel Aviv's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Maccabi Haifa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Maccabi Haifa Clean Sheet 12%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Tel Aviv
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
3:0
Apr 25, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:3
Apr 15, 2026 State Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
3:2
Jan 18, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
4:1
Oct 5, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Haifa Compare

Top Goalscorer Melamed G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abu Farhi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Haifa 74 / 100
Maccabi Tel Aviv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Maccabi Haifa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Maccabi Haifa scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Maccabi Tel Aviv has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Haifa VS Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Haifa

(Home)
14 Jul
Kiryat Yam
0 : 2
Maccabi Haifa
08 Jul
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 3
Paks
04 Jul
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Haifa
23 May
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 5
Maccabi Haifa
19 May
Maccabi Haifa
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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Maccabi Tel Aviv

(Away)
16 Jul
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
03 Jul
IMT Novi Beograd
1 : 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
30 Jun
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 : 0
Alashkert
26 May
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23 May
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1H. Beer Sheva36247579:3879
2Beitar Jerusalem362210478:4076
3Maccabi Tel Aviv36199872:4666
4Hapoel Tel Aviv361881055:3560
5Maccabi Haifa3615101166:4755
6Hapoel Petah Tikva369131448:5740
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)