Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Jaffa vs Hapoel Hadera

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Elbaz S.
22' Event
Ginon S.
31' Event
Khoury B.

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Jaffa in this Leumit League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maccabi Jaffa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Maccabi Jaffa
20%
Draws
50%
Hapoel Hadera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Hadera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maccabi Jaffa lately — more wins on the board than Hapoel Hadera.
  • Win probability leans Maccabi Jaffa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Maccabi Jaffa Clean Sheet 16%
Hapoel Hadera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Jaffa Hapoel Hadera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Hapoel Hadera
6:1
Jan 16, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Jaffa
3:2
Sep 14, 2025 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Hapoel Hadera
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Jaffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Elbaz S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ginon S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Hapoel Hadera Compare

Top Goalscorer Khoury B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Jaffa 36 / 100
Hapoel Hadera 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Jaffa Hapoel Hadera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Jaffa's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hapoel Hadera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Solid form: Maccabi Jaffa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Jaffa VS Hapoel Hadera
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Jaffa

(Home)
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
17 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
0 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
10 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 3
H. Raanana
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
30 Aug
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
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Hapoel Hadera

(Away)
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
17 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
0 : 1
Hapoel Hadera
09 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
2 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
04 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 0
Hapoel Hadera
25 May
Maccabi Jaffa
6 : 1
Hapoel Hadera
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