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Maccabi Jaffa vs Ironi Modiin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ironi Modiin have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Maccabi Jaffa have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.55. Head-to-head, Maccabi Jaffa have won 1 to Ironi Modiin's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 16, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.69) back Maccabi Jaffa to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Maccabi Jaffa
15%
Draws
57%
Ironi Modiin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ironi Modiin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maccabi Jaffa come out ahead of Ironi Modiin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ironi Modiin's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Maccabi Jaffa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ironi Modiin, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Maccabi Jaffa Clean Sheet 13%
Ironi Modiin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Jaffa Ironi Modiin
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Ironi Modiin
0:2
May 8, 2026 Leumit League
Ironi Modiin vs Maccabi Jaffa
4:1
Jan 30, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Ironi Modiin
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Leumit League
Ironi Modiin vs Maccabi Jaffa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Jaffa 22 / 100
Ironi Modiin 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Jaffa Ironi Modiin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ironi Modiin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Jaffa found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ironi Modiin conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Ironi Modiin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Jaffa VS Ironi Modiin
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Jaffa

(Home)
16 Oct
Maccabi Jaffa
0 : 2
Ironi Modiin
12 Oct
H. Ironi Rishon
3 : 0
Maccabi Jaffa
01 Oct
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
17 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
0 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Page 1 of 6

Ironi Modiin

(Away)
16 Oct
Maccabi Jaffa
0 : 2
Ironi Modiin
09 Oct
Ironi Modiin
1 : 2
Hapoel Afula
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
Ironi Modiin
1 : 3
SC Ashdod
17 Sept
Kiryat Yam
3 : 2
Ironi Modiin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
MS Kafr Qasim -
TBD -
Gissin Petah Tikva 0
Beitar Petah Tikva 4
Hapoel Arad 1
Kfar Saba 1928 3
TBD -
Kiryat Yam -
H. Raanana -
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Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 3
FC Shefa-Amr 2
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 2
Beitar Mevaseret Zion 1
Hapoel Tayibe 2
Hapoel Daliyat 4
Hapoel Akko -
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MS Tira 3
Maccabi Maalot 2
Yehuda -
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SC Ashdod -
FC Dimona 2
Bnei Yehud 0
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H. Ironi Rishon -
Hapoel Yarka 0
Beitar Nahariya 1
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Hapoel Afula -
Maccabi Jaffa -
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Ironi Modiin -
Ironi Nesher 2
Kiryat Haim 0
Ramat Hasharon 2
Bnei Eilat 0
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
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Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
Hapoel Rahat FC 1
Hapoel Sderot FC 4
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M. Nazareth -
Hapoel Karmiel 2
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona 0
H. Herzliya 0
Hapoel Azor 1
Nof Hagalil 4
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0
Bnei Herzliya 0
Maccabi Yavne 1
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Kiryat Yam -
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Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Hapoel Daliyat -
Hapoel Akko -
MS Tira -
Yehuda -
SC Ashdod -
FC Dimona -
H. Ironi Rishon -
Beitar Nahariya -
Hapoel Afula -
Maccabi Jaffa -
Ironi Modiin -
Ironi Nesher -
Ramat Hasharon -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
M. Nazareth -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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