Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Bashir B.
85' Event
Khoury M.
88' Event
Gabarin N. A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef North game between Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Matches Played 19 20
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0 0
Goals Conceded 0 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0:0
Jan 2, 2026 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Compare

Top Goalscorer Bashir B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khoury M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 42 / 100
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has conceded goals in 75% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad VS Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad

(Home)
20 Feb
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
1 : 2
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
13 Feb
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
1 : 2
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
06 Feb
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
30 Jan
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
2 : 1
Ironi Baka
26 Jan
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 1
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

(Away)
26 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0 : 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
05 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
30 Jan
FC Tzeirey Tamra
2 : 4
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)