Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Hadera

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026 HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Cohen I.
61' Event
Hazan L.

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Petah Tikva in this Leumit League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maccabi Petah Tikva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
6%
Draws
4%
Hapoel Hadera
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Maccabi Petah Tikva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Maccabi Petah Tikva have won more games recently than Hapoel Hadera.
  • Win probability leans Maccabi Petah Tikva's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 19%
Hapoel Hadera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Petah Tikva Hapoel Hadera
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 11 10
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Hadera
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Hadera
4:1
Dec 31, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Hadera
0:0
Sep 16, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Cohen I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hazan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hapoel Hadera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Petah Tikva 85 / 100
Hapoel Hadera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Petah Tikva Hapoel Hadera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Hadera let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Maccabi Petah Tikva remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Maccabi Petah Tikva's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Petah Tikva VS Hapoel Hadera
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Petah Tikva

(Home)
25 May
Kiryat Yam
0 : 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
20 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 2
Yehuda
15 May
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
11 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 0
H. Ironi Rishon
05 May
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
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Hapoel Hadera

(Away)
25 May
Maccabi Jaffa
6 : 1
Hapoel Hadera
19 May
Hapoel Akko
0 : 0
Hapoel Hadera
14 May
Hapoel Hadera
3 : 3
H. Raanana
08 May
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Hapoel Afula
05 May
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 0
Ironi Modiin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)