Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Netanya

Israel Israel

Toto Cup HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Zaarura B.
33'
Soumah I.
41' Event
Cortes J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
20%
Draws
36%
Netanya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maccabi Petah Tikva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Netanya lately — more wins on the board than Maccabi Petah Tikva.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Netanya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Netanya, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 16%
Netanya Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Petah Tikva Netanya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Toto Cup
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Netanya
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Netanya
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Netanya vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Netanya
0:2
Feb 3, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Netanya vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Netanya Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaarura B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Davo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 / 100
Netanya 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Petah Tikva Netanya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Petah Tikva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Petah Tikva scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Netanya conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Maccabi Petah Tikva has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Petah Tikva VS Netanya
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Petah Tikva

(Home)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

Netanya

(Away)
19 Sept
Netanya
1 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
14 Sept
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2 : 0
Netanya
07 Sept
Netanya
1 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4
Netanya
24 Aug
Netanya
0 : 0
Sakhnin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shmona 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Hapoel Haifa 4 3 0 1 9:7 9
3 Maccabi Haifa 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
4 Ironi Tiberias 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
5 Sakhnin 4 0 0 4 2:6 0
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netanya 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 Hapoel Ramat Gan 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Hapoel Jerusalem 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
4 Maccabi Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Hapoel Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)