Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Netanya

Israel Israel

Toto Cup HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Wed, Jul 29, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Toto Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Netanya have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Maccabi Petah Tikva have conceded 0.88 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Maccabi Petah Tikva have won 3 to Netanya's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back Maccabi Petah Tikva to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
44%
Draws
20%
Netanya
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Netanya at 1.88 per game, Maccabi Petah Tikva at 1.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Netanya, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 17%
Netanya Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Petah Tikva Netanya
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Netanya
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Netanya vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Netanya
0:2
Feb 3, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Netanya vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
0:1
Dec 5, 2023 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Netanya
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Petah Tikva 36 / 100
Netanya 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Petah Tikva Netanya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Petah Tikva scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Solid form: Maccabi Petah Tikva remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Netanya let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Petah Tikva VS Netanya
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Petah Tikva

(Home)
25 May
Kiryat Yam
0 : 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
20 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 2
Yehuda
15 May
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
11 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 0
H. Ironi Rishon
05 May
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 6

Netanya

(Away)
18 Jul
KS Wieczysta Krakow
0 : 1
Netanya
15 Jul
Odra Opole
2 : 4
Netanya
03 Jul
Ironi Tiberias
3 : 3
Netanya
18 May
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 4
Netanya
13 May
Netanya
1 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sakhnin00000:00
2Maccabi Haifa00000:00
3Shmona00000:00
4Hapoel Haifa00000:00
5Ironi Tiberias00000:00
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva00000:00
2Netanya00000:00
3Hapoel Petah Tikva00000:00
4Hapoel Ramat Gan00000:00
5Hapoel Jerusalem00000:00
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)