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Maccabi Shaarayim vs H. Herzliya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2024/2025
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Match Events

69' Event
Hansen I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2024/2025 game between Maccabi Shaarayim and H. Herzliya finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward H. Herzliya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Maccabi Shaarayim
35%
Draws
45%
H. Herzliya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: H. Herzliya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • H. Herzliya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans H. Herzliya's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Maccabi Shaarayim Clean Sheet 28%
H. Herzliya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Shaarayim H. Herzliya
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 4 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.82 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Shaarayim vs H. Herzliya
0:1
Oct 22, 2024 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Maccabi Shaarayim
1:1
Feb 29, 2024 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Maccabi Shaarayim
4:1
Sep 28, 2023 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Shaarayim vs H. Herzliya
3:2
Mar 3, 2023 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Maccabi Shaarayim
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Shaarayim Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

H. Herzliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansen I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Shaarayim 17 / 100
H. Herzliya 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Shaarayim H. Herzliya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick H. Herzliya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H. Herzliya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Maccabi Shaarayim's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Maccabi Shaarayim remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS H. Herzliya
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Shaarayim

(Home)
25 Apr
Hapoel Bnei Lod
4 : 1
Maccabi Shaarayim
22 Apr
Maccabi Shaarayim
3 : 4
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
08 Apr
Tzeirei Tira
1 : 0
Maccabi Shaarayim
04 Apr
Maccabi Shaarayim
2 : 2
Hapoel Marmorek
28 Mar
FC Dimona
0 : 2
Maccabi Shaarayim
Page 1 of 6

H. Herzliya

(Away)
08 Oct
H. Herzliya
0 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
23 Sept
H. Herzliya
1 : 0
Tzeirei Tira
18 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ironi Modiin 30 18 8 4 45:19 62
2 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 30 17 5 8 50:34 56
3 H. Herzliya 30 16 7 7 46:32 55
4 Maccabi Yavne 30 16 6 8 44:33 54
5 FC Dimona 30 15 6 9 43:29 51
6 Holon Yermiyahu 30 12 11 7 42:29 47
7 Jerusalem FC 30 12 9 9 47:41 45
8 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 30 10 10 10 35:31 40
9 Agudat Sport Ashdod 30 10 8 12 44:35 38
10 Shimshon Tel Aviv 30 9 11 10 33:34 38
11 Hapoel Marmorek 30 6 12 12 29:38 30
12 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 30 6 12 12 22:35 30
13 Hapoel Azor 30 7 9 14 28:48 30
14 Tzeirei Tira 30 7 8 15 24:44 29
15 Hapoel Bnei Lod 30 8 5 17 30:58 29
16 Maccabi Shaarayim 30 3 9 18 24:46 18
17 Nes Tziona 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Shimshon Kafr Qasim 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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