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Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sakhnin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Tel Aviv host Sakhnin in the Ligat ha'Al. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Maccabi Tel Aviv at 2.38 goals for, 1.15 against; Sakhnin at 0.6 for, 1.47 against. Past meetings favor Maccabi Tel Aviv slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 0.94) point toward Maccabi Tel Aviv. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
20%
Draws
19%
Sakhnin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maccabi Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maccabi Tel Aviv come out ahead of Sakhnin on wins alone.
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Maccabi Tel Aviv have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 20%
Sakhnin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Tel Aviv Sakhnin
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 24 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.38 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sakhnin
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sakhnin
3:1
Nov 10, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:4
Aug 18, 2024 Toto Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sakhnin
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Tel Aviv 85 / 100
Sakhnin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Tel Aviv Sakhnin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Tel Aviv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Tel Aviv found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (34 games).

Maccabi Tel Aviv went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sakhnin let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv VS Sakhnin
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Tel Aviv

(Home)
19 Sept
Netanya
1 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
31 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Maccabi Haifa
27 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 : 1
Lugano
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Sakhnin

(Away)
19 Sept
Sakhnin
1 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
14 Sept
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 1
Sakhnin
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24 Aug
Netanya
0 : 0
Sakhnin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)