Sport Picks
Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu
Israel
Liga Alef South 2025/2026 
Match Events
31'
31'
Marciano L.
90'
90'
Navon S.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Alef South 2025/2026 game between Maccabi Yavne and Holon Yermiyahu finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Maccabi Yavne come out ahead of Holon Yermiyahu on wins alone.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Maccabi Yavne taking it.
- Regular Liga Alef South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Maccabi Yavne Clean Sheet 20%
Holon Yermiyahu Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maccabi Yavne | Holon Yermiyahu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 23 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 20, 2026 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Yavne
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu
1:0
Dec 10, 2024 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Yavne
1:0
Mar 8, 2024 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maccabi Yavne Compare
Top Goalscorer Navon S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Holon Yermiyahu Compare
Top Goalscorer Marciano L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.17
Avg xA / game 0.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maccabi Yavne 40 / 100
Holon Yermiyahu 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maccabi Yavne Holon Yermiyahu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maccabi Yavne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maccabi Yavne's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 22 recent games.
Holon Yermiyahu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 23 matches.
Maccabi Yavne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Maccabi Yavne VS Holon Yermiyahu
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
13% Over 1.5 13%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Maccabi Yavne
(Home) 24 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1 Maccabi Yavne
18 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
0 : 0 H. Herzliya
09 Sept
FC Dimona
1 : 0 Maccabi Yavne
03 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
3 : 0 Hapoel Azor
27 Feb
Kfar Saba 1928
2 : 4 Maccabi Yavne
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18 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
0 : 0 H. Herzliya
03 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
3 : 0 Hapoel Azor
20 Feb
Maccabi Yavne
1 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
12 Feb
Maccabi Yavne
2 : 1 Shimshon Tel Aviv
30 Jan
Maccabi Yavne
4 : 1 FC Dimona
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Holon Yermiyahu
(Away) 24 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0 Kfar Saba 1928
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0 Hapoel Marmorek
04 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
0 : 0 Ramat Hasharon
27 Feb
Holon Yermiyahu
0 : 0 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
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17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
20 Feb
Maccabi Yavne
1 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
05 Feb
Shimshon Tel Aviv
2 : 0 Holon Yermiyahu
16 Jan
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0 Holon Yermiyahu
11 Jan
FC Dimona
2 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kiryat Gat | 21 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 53:18 | 55 |
| 2 | Jerusalem FC | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45:29 | 37 |
| 3 | FC Dimona | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29:30 | 37 |
| 4 | Maccabi Yavne | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27:27 | 35 |
| 6 | Tzeirei Tira | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33:24 | 33 |
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 30 |
| 8 | Beitar Yavne | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 28:31 | 29 |
| 10 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30:33 | 24 |
| 11 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20:34 | 24 |
| 12 | Hapoel Azor | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17:20 | 23 |
| 13 | H. Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Ramat Hasharon | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:43 | 19 |
| 15 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37:35 | 16 |
| 16 | Beitar Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28:40 | 15 |
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
