Sport Picks

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Macclesfield vs Crystal Palace

England England

FA Cup Leasing.com Stadium, Macclesfield
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Dawson P.
Assist: Duffy L.
45'
Kay J.
46'
Sub
Canvot J. In: Mitchell T.
Out: Canvot J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Macclesfield
20%
Draws
36%
Crystal Palace
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Macclesfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macclesfield come out ahead of Crystal Palace on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Macclesfield's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Macclesfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Macclesfield, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Macclesfield Clean Sheet 20%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macclesfield Crystal Palace
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 FA Cup
Macclesfield vs Crystal Palace
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macclesfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Dawson P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buckley I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Crystal Palace Compare

Top Goalscorer Pino Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macclesfield 49 / 100
Crystal Palace 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macclesfield Crystal Palace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macclesfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macclesfield scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Macclesfield stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Crystal Palace has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Macclesfield VS Crystal Palace
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macclesfield

(Home)
18 Aug
Spalding United
0 : 0
Macclesfield
15 Aug
Macclesfield
2 : 1
Radcliffe
08 Aug
Marine
0 : 1
Macclesfield
01 Aug
Macclesfield
2 : 0
United of Manchester
28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1
Macclesfield
Page 1 of 6

Crystal Palace

(Away)
15 Aug
Freiburg
3 : 0
Crystal Palace
07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2
Crystal Palace
31 Jul
Crystal Palace
3 : 1
Al-Ula
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1
Crystal Palace
28 Jul
Crystal Palace
0 : 3
Lens
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
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Nottingham -
Ipswich -
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TBD -
Blackpool 1
Scunthorpe 0
Reading 2
Carlisle 3
Hull City -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Bromley 1
Bristol Rovers 2
Fleetwood Town 2
Barnet 1
Luton 4
Forest Green 3
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Colchester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 3
Northampton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Crawley Town 0
Newport 3
Gillingham 2
Brackley 3
Notts County 2
Burton 6
St. Albans 0
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 2
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 6
AFC Totton 3
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Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
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Brentford -
Tranmere 1
Stockport County 3
Cambridge Utd 3
Chester 0
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Birmingham -
Derby -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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AFC Wimbledon 0
Gateshead 2
Eastleigh 0
Walsall 3
Swansea -
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West Brom -
Tottenham -
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Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax 0
Exeter 2
Wycombe 2
Plymouth 0
Salford 2
Lincoln City 1
Tamworth 0
Leyton Orient 1
Rotherham 1
Swindon 2
Bolton 2
Huddersfield 1
Grimsby 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Wealdstone 1
Southend 0
Chelmsford 4
Braintree 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Aldershot 1
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton 2
Telford 1
South Shields 1
Shrewsbury 3
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough 1
Cardiff 0
Barnsley 3
York City 2
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Stoke City -
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Coventry -
Fulham -
TBD -
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Middlesbrough -
Stevenage 0
Chesterfield 1
Crewe 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
TBD -
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Southampton -
Cheltenham 1
Bradford City 0
Buxton 2
Chatham 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Leicester -
Burnley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough 1
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Harrogate 2
Portsmouth -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wigan 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Spennymoor 0
Barrow 2
1/64-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Blackpool 4
Carlisle 1
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Luton 2
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 1
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Newport 0
Brackley 1
Burton 3
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 1
Macclesfield 3
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Stockport County 0
Cambridge Utd 1
TBD -
Birmingham -
Derby -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Norwich -
TBD -
Gateshead 0
Walsall 2
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Exeter 4
Wycombe 0
Salford 4
Leyton Orient 0
Swindon 4
Bolton 0
Grimsby 4
Wealdstone 0
Chelmsford 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Shrewsbury 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
Peterborough 0
Barnsley 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Stoke City -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry -
Fulham -
TBD -
TBD -
Middlesbrough -
Chesterfield 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
Southampton -
Cheltenham 6
Buxton 2
TBD -
Leicester -
Burnley -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Portsmouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
Wigan 3
Barrow 2
1/32-finals
Wrexham 4
Nottingham 3
Ipswich 2
Blackpool 1
Hull City 1
Blackburn 0
Charlton 1
Chelsea 5
Port Vale 1
Fleetwood Town 0
Bristol City 5
Watford 1
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Oxford Utd 2
Everton 1
Sunderland 2
Boreham Wood 0
Burton 5
West Ham 2
QPR 1
Macclesfield 2
Crystal Palace 1
Sheffield Wed 0
Brentford 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Birmingham 3
Derby 1
Leeds 3
Norwich 5
Walsall 1
Swansea 2
West Brom 3
Tottenham 1
Aston Villa 2
Newcastle Utd 4
Bournemouth 3
Manchester City 10
Exeter 1
Salford 3
Swindon 2
Grimsby 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves 6
Shrewsbury 1
Liverpool 4
Barnsley 1
Manchester United 1
Brighton 2
Stoke City 1
Coventry 0
Fulham 3
Middlesbrough 1
Doncaster 2
Southampton 3
Cheltenham 0
Leicester 2
Burnley 5
Millwall 1
Sheffield Utd 3
Mansfield 4
Portsmouth 1
Arsenal 4
Preston 0
Wigan 1
1/16-finals
Wrexham 1
Ipswich 0
Hull City 0
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Bristol City 0
Oxford Utd 0
Sunderland 1
Burton 0
West Ham 1
Macclesfield 0
Brentford 1
Birmingham 1
Leeds 2
Norwich 3
West Brom 1
Aston Villa 1
Newcastle Utd 3
Manchester City 2
Salford 0
Grimsby 0
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Brighton 0
Stoke City 1
Fulham 2
Southampton 2
Leicester 1
Burnley 1
Mansfield 2
Arsenal 4
Wigan 0
1/8-finals
Wrexham 2
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Sunderland 0
West Ham 3
Brentford 2
Leeds 3
Norwich 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Fulham 0
Southampton 1
Mansfield 1
Arsenal 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea 7
Port Vale 0
West Ham 2
Leeds 3
Manchester City 4
Liverpool 0
Southampton 2
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea 1
Leeds 0
Manchester City 2
Southampton 1
Final
Chelsea 0
Manchester City 1