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Macclesfield vs Harborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Elliott D.

AI Match Summary

Macclesfield in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macclesfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Macclesfield
30%
Draws
27%
Harborough
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Macclesfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Macclesfield lately — more wins on the board than Harborough.
  • Model gives Macclesfield a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Macclesfield Clean Sheet 20%
Harborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macclesfield Harborough
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.68 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 National League North
Macclesfield vs Harborough
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macclesfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Elliott D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Harborough Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macclesfield 67 / 100
Harborough 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macclesfield Harborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macclesfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macclesfield scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Macclesfield has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Harborough let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Macclesfield VS Harborough
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Macclesfield

(Home)
06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
03 Oct
Macclesfield
2 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0
Harborough
19 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Macclesfield
Page 1 of 7

Harborough

(Away)
03 Oct
Harborough
3 : 2
St. Albans
26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0
Harborough
19 Sept
Harborough
1 : 0
Rushall
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)