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Maceratese vs AS Sora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Pecchia G.
54' Event
Stampete S.
55'
Curatolo D.

AI Match Summary

AS Sora in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Sora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maceratese
20%
Draws
40%
AS Sora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Maceratese have won more games recently than AS Sora.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Maceratese Clean Sheet 19%
AS Sora Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maceratese AS Sora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs AS Sora
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group F
AS Sora vs Maceratese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maceratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Adrian O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

AS Sora Compare

Top Goalscorer Pecchia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stampete S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maceratese 31 / 100
AS Sora 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maceratese AS Sora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maceratese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maceratese found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

AS Sora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Maceratese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maceratese VS AS Sora
1.13 Goals Scored 0.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Maceratese

(Home)
04 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Maceratese
27 Sept
Maceratese
1 : 1
Santegidiese
20 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 2
Maceratese
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1
Ancona
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1
Maceratese
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AS Sora

(Away)
03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2
AS Sora
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Unipomezia
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2
San Marino Calcio
02 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
AS Sora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)