Sport Picks
Match Events
72'
72'
Menna T.
85'
85'
Ciabuschi J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Maceratese at 1.33 per game, Giulianova at 1.17.
- 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Maceratese Clean Sheet 18%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maceratese | Giulianova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 14 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Giulianova
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Maceratese
2:1
May 10, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Maceratese
1:1
Jan 4, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Giulianova
1:1
Apr 17, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Maceratese
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maceratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Ciabuschi J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Giulianova Compare
Top Goalscorer Menna T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maceratese 32 / 100
Giulianova 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maceratese Giulianova
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GIU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Maceratese scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Giulianova let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Maceratese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maceratese VS Giulianova
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Maceratese
(Home) 03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1 Giulianova
19 Apr
Unipomezia
3 : 0 Maceratese
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1 Recanatese
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2 Maceratese
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1 Giulianova
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1 Recanatese
29 Mar
Maceratese
3 : 0 San Marino Calcio
15 Mar
Maceratese
0 : 1 Termoli
22 Feb
Maceratese
2 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Giulianova
(Away) 03 May
Giulianova
4 : 0 Ostiamare
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1 Giulianova
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0 Castelfidardo
02 Apr
Unipomezia
0 : 0 Giulianova
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1 Giulianova
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
02 Apr
Unipomezia
0 : 0 Giulianova
22 Mar
Recanatese
0 : 0 Giulianova
01 Mar
San Marino Calcio
1 : 2 Giulianova
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
