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Stadium Background

Maceratese vs Teramo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Njambe M.
90'
Njambe M.

AI Match Summary

Teramo in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Teramo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Maceratese
35%
Draws
42%
Teramo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Teramo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Teramo have won more games recently than Maceratese.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Teramo taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Maceratese Clean Sheet 15%
Teramo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maceratese Teramo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 19
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 1.33 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Teramo
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Maceratese
2:1
Apr 23, 2017 Serie C - Group B
Maceratese vs Teramo
0:0
Dec 7, 2016 Serie C - Group B
Teramo vs Maceratese
0:1
Feb 28, 2016 Serie C - Group B
Teramo vs Maceratese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maceratese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Teramo Compare

Top Goalscorer Njambe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maceratese 27 / 100
Teramo 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maceratese Teramo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maceratese scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Teramo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Maceratese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Maceratese VS Teramo
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maceratese

(Home)
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Maceratese
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1
Giulianova
19 Apr
Unipomezia
3 : 0
Maceratese
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1
Recanatese
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2
Maceratese
Page 1 of 6

Teramo

(Away)
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1
Scafatese
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
10 May
Teramo
2 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
03 May
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1
Teramo
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2
Recanatese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F (Play Out)