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Machico vs Chaves B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Machico Logo

Machico

1 - 0
FT
Chaves B Logo

Chaves B

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Tovar C.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Machico in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Machico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Machico
35%
Draws
27%
Chaves B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Chaves B haven't matched Machico's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Machico Clean Sheet 20%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Machico Chaves B
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Machico vs Chaves B
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs Machico
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machico 32 / 100
Chaves B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Machico Chaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Machico remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Machico scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Chaves B conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Machico VS Chaves B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Machico

(Home)
25 Jul
Maritimo
0 : 0
Machico
11 Jul
Nacional
1 : 2
Machico
18 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
12 Apr
Celoricense
0 : 0
Machico
08 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 6

Chaves B

(Away)
08 Jul
Chaves
1 : 0
Chaves B
18 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 1
Chaves B
12 Apr
Chaves B
1 : 1
GD Braganca
04 Apr
Chaves B
3 : 0
AD Limianos
22 Mar
Desportivo Moncao
1 : 4
Chaves B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)