Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Machico vs Chaves B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Machico Logo

Machico

1 - 0
FT
Chaves B Logo

Chaves B

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Tovar C.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Machico in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Machico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Machico
20%
Draws
42%
Chaves B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Chaves B haven't matched Machico's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Machico a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Machico Clean Sheet 68%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Machico Chaves B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Machico vs Chaves B
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs Machico
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machico 50 / 100
Chaves B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Machico Chaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Machico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Machico found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Chaves B let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Machico remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Machico VS Chaves B
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Machico

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 6

Chaves B

(Away)
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
08 Jul
Chaves
1 : 0
Chaves B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)