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Machico vs Estrela Calheta

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico Logo

Machico

0 - 0
FT
Estrela Calheta Logo

Estrela Calheta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Machico
30%
Draws
19%
Estrela Calheta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Machico lately — more wins on the board than Estrela Calheta.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Machico taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Machico Clean Sheet 20%
Estrela Calheta Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Machico Estrela Calheta
Matches Played 33 8
Wins 13 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.06 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs Estrela Calheta
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machico 85 / 100
Estrela Calheta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Machico Estrela Calheta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Machico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Machico stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Machico found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Estrela Calheta has conceded goals in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Estrela Calheta lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Machico VS Estrela Calheta
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Machico

(Home)
25 Jul
Maritimo
0 : 0
Machico
11 Jul
Nacional
1 : 2
Machico
18 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
12 Apr
Celoricense
0 : 0
Machico
08 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 7

Estrela Calheta

(Away)
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1
Estrela Calheta
21 Sept
FC Alpendorada
7 : 1
Estrela Calheta
11 Sept
Aljustrelense
2 : 0
Estrela Calheta
28 Aug
Santana
0 : 1
Estrela Calheta
05 Sept
Estrela Calheta
1 : 2
Lagoa
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machico 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
2 Estrela Calheta 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Beira Mar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Camacha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Cinfaes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Sanjoanense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 FC Alpendorada 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 SC Salgueiros 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 UD Ovarense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Uniao Lamas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Sousense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Castro Daire 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Florgrade 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Guarda FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)