Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between Machico and Guarda FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Machico.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Machico come out ahead of Guarda FC on wins alone.
- Machico are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Machico | Guarda FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.01 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Machico Compare
Guarda FC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Machico scored in 70% of their last 37 outings.
Defensive concern: Guarda FC conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Machico has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Machico
(Home)Guarda FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leca | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 52:17 | 62 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 35:16 | 53 |
| 3 | SC Salgueiros | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 39:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Cinfaes | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:25 | 41 |
| 5 | Beira Mar | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 31:28 | 39 |
| 6 | Uniao Lamas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 31:27 | 38 |
| 7 | FC Alpendorada | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 26:24 | 36 |
| 8 | Machico | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:27 | 35 |
| 9 | Camacha | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 30:35 | 35 |
| 10 | Guarda FC | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:30 | 32 |
| 11 | Gondomar | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 16:28 | 31 |
| 12 | Coimbroes | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:43 | 21 |
| 13 | Maritimo B | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25:49 | 17 |
| 14 | Regua | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 16:45 | 8 |
