Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Machico

1 - 0

Vilaverdense FC

Our Tip

Match Events

77'

Garcia D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Machico and Vilaverdense FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Machico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Machico

Draws

Vilaverdense FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Vilaverdense FC haven't matched Machico's recent run of results.
Model gives Machico a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Machico Clean Sheet 68%

Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Machico	Vilaverdense FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	4
Draws	7	9
Losses	11	17
Goals Scored	1.5	0.38
Goals Conceded	1	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Machico vs Vilaverdense FC

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Vilaverdense FC vs Machico

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Machico Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Vilaverdense FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machico 95 / 100

Vilaverdense FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Machico Vilaverdense FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Machico scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Vilaverdense FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Machico stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Machico VS Vilaverdense FC

1.5 Goals Scored 0.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	GD Braganca	26	14	6	6	41:29	48
2	SC Vianense	26	14	6	6	49:28	48
3	Brito	26	14	4	8	36:24	46
4	Celoricense	26	11	9	6	35:23	42
5	AD Limianos	26	11	8	7	35:32	41
6	Tirsense	26	9	13	4	31:22	40
7	Camacha	26	9	9	8	34:26	36
8	Chaves B	26	9	9	8	40:29	36
9	Machico	26	10	6	10	28:30	36
10	Sao Martinho	26	10	4	12	22:31	34
11	SC Mirandela	26	10	2	14	21:29	32
12	Vilaverdense FC	26	4	9	13	15:31	21
13	CD Ribeira Brava	26	4	8	14	20:46	20
14	Desportivo Moncao	26	4	5	17	26:53	17