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Macon vs Fleury-Merogis

France France

National 2 - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bouzit A.
35' Event
Koffi P.
46' Event
Sylla S.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group D game between Macon and Fleury-Merogis finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fleury-Merogis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Macon
20%
Draws
20%
Fleury-Merogis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Macon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Fleury-Merogis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Macon a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Macon Clean Sheet 20%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macon Fleury-Merogis
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Fleury-Merogis vs Macon
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Macon vs Fleury-Merogis
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouzit A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koffi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macon 40 / 100
Fleury-Merogis 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macon Fleury-Merogis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Macon scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Fleury-Merogis conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Fleury-Merogis's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Macon VS Fleury-Merogis
2 Goals Scored 2.13
5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macon

(Home)
08 Jul
Lyon
5 : 2
Macon
30 Nov
Macon
0 : 2
Sochaux
16 Nov
Guereins
0 : 4
Macon
07 Aug
Macon
1 : 0
Villefranche
18 May
Macon
0 : 1
Haguenau
Page 1 of 6

Fleury-Merogis

(Away)
14 Aug
Cannes
1 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
07 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 0
Amiens SC
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bourg Peronnas 26 16 5 5 48:25 50
2 Fleury-Merogis 26 13 7 6 44:21 46
3 Furiani Agliani 26 10 13 3 31:18 43
4 FC Bobigny 93 26 10 12 4 39:30 42
5 Creteil 26 10 7 9 30:29 37
6 Biesheim 26 9 8 9 29:34 35
7 Wasquehal 26 9 7 10 35:39 34
8 Feignies-Aulnoye 26 9 7 10 28:32 34
9 Haguenau 26 9 5 12 32:47 32
10 Colmar 26 9 4 13 35:41 31
11 Auxerre II 26 8 6 12 32:32 30
12 Macon 26 6 10 10 34:37 28
13 Besancon RC 26 6 7 13 26:34 25
14 St Quentin 26 6 6 14 37:61 24
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