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Macva Bogatic vs Sumadija Arandjelovac

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2019/2020
Sat, May 9, 2020
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Macva Bogatic host Sumadija Arandjelovac in the Srpska Liga - West 2019/2020. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Sumadija Arandjelovac have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Macva Bogatic have conceded 1.75 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Macva Bogatic slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 26, 2021, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.04 - 1.38) back Macva Bogatic to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Macva Bogatic
6%
Draws
4%
Sumadija Arandjelovac
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Macva Bogatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sumadija Arandjelovac haven't matched Macva Bogatic's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Macva Bogatic's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Macva Bogatic Clean Sheet 17%
Sumadija Arandjelovac Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macva Bogatic Sumadija Arandjelovac
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 12 4
Draws 13 5
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Sumadija Arandjelovac vs Macva Bogatic
1:2
Nov 7, 2020 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Sumadija Arandjelovac
4:1
May 9, 2020 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Sumadija Arandjelovac
0:0
Oct 19, 2019 Srpska Liga - West
Sumadija Arandjelovac vs Macva Bogatic
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macva Bogatic 84 / 100
Sumadija Arandjelovac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macva Bogatic Sumadija Arandjelovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sumadija Arandjelovac conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

Macva Bogatic has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sumadija Arandjelovac lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Macva Bogatic scored in 77% of their last 39 outings.

Scoring Trends

Macva Bogatic VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Macva Bogatic

(Home)
10 Jun
Macva Bogatic
3 : 0
Mladi Radnik
03 Jun
Buducnost Arilje
2 : 7
Macva Bogatic
27 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Radevac
21 May
OFK Mihajlovac
0 : 2
Macva Bogatic
13 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Takovo
Page 1 of 8

Sumadija Arandjelovac

(Away)
06 Jun
Sumadija Arandjelovac
0 : 4
Josanica
30 May
Gruza
4 : 2
Sumadija Arandjelovac
26 May
Sumadija Arandjelovac
1 : 2
Macva Bogatic
23 May
Buducnost Arilje
4 : 2
Sumadija Arandjelovac
15 May
Jedinstvo Ub
3 : 0
Sumadija Arandjelovac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Borac 192619162150:1350
2Sloga Pozega19113532:1636
3Buducnost Krusik19106324:1236
4Jedinstvo Ub19112624:1735
5Sloga Petrovac19102731:2632
6Tutin1994630:2031
7Loznica1994623:2131
8Susica1993731:2930
9Trepca1985624:1929
10Josanica1884618:1727
11Sloga Kraljevo1964922:2522
12Takovo19611214:2819
13OFK Mihajlovac19531123:3218
14RSK Rabrovo19531124:3618
15Macva Bogatic19451017:2417
16Mladi Radnik19451016:2817
17Sumadija Arandjelovac19441117:3516
18Mokra Gora18341110:3213
Promotion - Prva Liga 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Prva Liga 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Prva Liga 2020/2021 (Main)