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Macva Sabac vs Vrsac

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Stadion FK Mačva Šabac, Sabac
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ergelas M.
(Penalty)
12'
Bajic M.
25' Event
Pejovic L.

AI Match Summary

Macva Sabac in this Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macva Sabac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Macva Sabac
20%
Draws
51%
Vrsac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vrsac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vrsac have won more games recently than Macva Sabac.
  • Model gives Vrsac a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Macva Sabac Clean Sheet 17%
Vrsac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macva Sabac Vrsac
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Macva Sabac vs Vrsac
3:0
Nov 17, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Vrsac vs Macva Sabac
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Macva Sabac vs Vrsac
1:0
May 24, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Macva Sabac vs Vrsac
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Vrsac vs Macva Sabac
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macva Sabac Compare

Top Goalscorer Pejovic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ergelas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vrsac Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macva Sabac 28 / 100
Vrsac 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macva Sabac Vrsac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrsac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Macva Sabac scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Vrsac has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Macva Sabac went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macva Sabac VS Vrsac
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macva Sabac

(Home)
20 Sept
Macva Sabac
1 : 2
Mladost Lucani
11 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
2 : 0
Macva Sabac
05 Sept
Macva Sabac
0 : 0
Radnicki 1923
29 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 1
Macva Sabac
22 Aug
Macva Sabac
1 : 0
Radnicki Nis
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Vrsac

(Away)
26 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 0
Vrsac
21 Sept
Vrsac
1 : 0
OFK Bor 1919
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2
Vrsac
12 Sept
Vrsac
4 : 1
Graficar Beograd
05 Sept
Spartak Subotica
2 : 0
Vrsac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zemun 35 20 10 5 55:33 70
2 Macva Sabac 35 19 9 7 47:29 66
3 FK Vozdovac 35 19 8 8 60:29 65
4 Loznica 35 17 10 8 37:26 61
5 Vrsac 35 10 16 9 35:36 46
6 Jedinstvo Ub 35 11 11 13 46:52 44
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