Sport Picks
Madagascar vs Central Africa
Africa
African Nations Championship Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
6'
6'
Yangao F.
22'
22'
Andrianarimanana A.
29'
29'
Namgbema L.
AI Match Summary
Madagascar in this African Nations Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Madagascar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Madagascar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Madagascar lately — more wins on the board than Central Africa.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Madagascar taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this African Nations Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Madagascar Clean Sheet 68%
Central Africa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Madagascar | Central Africa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2025 World Championship
Madagascar vs Central Africa
2:0
Aug 13, 2025 African Nations Championship
Madagascar vs Central Africa
2:0
Mar 19, 2025 World Championship
Central Africa vs Madagascar
1:4
Mar 27, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Central Africa vs Madagascar
2:0
Mar 23, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Madagascar vs Central Africa
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Madagascar Compare
Top Goalscorer Rakotondraibe T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rafanomezantsoa L. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Central Africa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Madagascar 95 / 100
Central Africa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Madagascar Central Africa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Madagascar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Central Africa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.
Madagascar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Madagascar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Madagascar VS Central Africa
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Madagascar
(Home) 25 Sept
Nigeria
2 : 1 Madagascar
02 Jun
Morocco
4 : 0 Madagascar
31 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1 Madagascar
28 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
2 : 5 Madagascar
17 Nov
Madagascar
2 : 0 Equatorial Guinea
Page 1 of 6
17 Nov
Madagascar
2 : 0 Equatorial Guinea
08 Sept
Madagascar
3 : 1 Chad
04 Sept
Madagascar
2 : 0 Central Africa
30 Aug
Madagascar
2 : 3 Morocco
26 Aug
Madagascar
1 : 0 Sudan
Page 1 of 3
Central Africa
(Away) 24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1 Central Africa
09 Jun
Angola
3 : 0 Central Africa
05 Jun
Central Africa
1 : 1 Togo
12 Oct
Chad
2 : 3 Central Africa
08 Oct
Central Africa
0 : 5 Ghana
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1 Central Africa
09 Jun
Angola
3 : 0 Central Africa
12 Oct
Chad
2 : 3 Central Africa
04 Sept
Madagascar
2 : 0 Central Africa
13 Aug
Madagascar
2 : 0 Central Africa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenya | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Morocco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 | D.R. Congo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Angola | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Zambia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 0 |
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tanzania | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Madagascar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Burkina Faso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Central Africa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 2 | Algeria | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Guinea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Niger | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:3 | 2 |
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sudan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 5 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Congo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)
