Sport Picks
Madagascar vs Morocco
Africa
African Nations Championship Moi International Sports Centre (Kasarani), Nairobi 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Morocco carry the better recent record into this one.
- 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Morocco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Morocco, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Madagascar | Morocco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 25 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 0.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Madagascar Compare
Morocco Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Madagascar scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Madagascar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Morocco has conceded goals in 41% of their last 32 outings.
