Sport Picks

Madagascar vs Tanzania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Stade d'Honneur, Meknes

Madagascar

1 - 1

Tanzania

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Hamad I.

39'

Kachwele C.

Assist: Salum F.

45'

Rabemananjara R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Madagascar

30%

Draws

31%

Tanzania

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madagascar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence

Tanzania haven't matched Madagascar's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Tanzania's way, sitting at 40%.
Madagascar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Madagascar Clean Sheet 15%

Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Madagascar	Tanzania
Matches Played	27	26
Wins	12	8
Draws	4	6
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.41	1.04
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.04
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations

Madagascar vs Tanzania

1:1

Aug 9, 2025 African Nations Championship

Tanzania vs Madagascar

2:1

Jun 7, 2025 COSAFA Cup

Tanzania vs Madagascar

0:1

Nov 14, 2021 World Championship

Madagascar vs Tanzania

1:1

Sep 7, 2021 World Championship

Tanzania vs Madagascar

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madagascar Compare

Top Goalscorer Fontaine N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Kachwele C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madagascar 27 / 100

Tanzania 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Madagascar Tanzania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanzania Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madagascar found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Tanzania conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Madagascar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Madagascar VS Tanzania

1.25 Goals Scored 1.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Madagascar

(Home)

29 Sept

Madagascar

1 : 1

Tanzania

25 Sept

Nigeria

2 : 1

Madagascar

02 Jun

Morocco

4 : 0

Madagascar

31 Mar

Equatorial Guinea

1 : 1

Madagascar

28 Mar

Kyrgyzstan

2 : 5

Madagascar

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Tanzania

(Away)

29 Sept

Madagascar

1 : 1

Tanzania

25 Sept

Tanzania

0 : 2

Guinea Bissau

29 Mar

Macau

0 : 6

Tanzania

26 Mar

Tanzania

0 : 1

Liechtenstein

04 Jan

Morocco

1 : 0

Tanzania

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