Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Madagascar W vs Mauritius W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2024
Madagascar W Logo

Madagascar W

5 - 1
FT
Mauritius W Logo

Mauritius W

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mamonjy S.
18' Event
Razazaharonavana M.
37' Event
Razazaharonavana M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Madagascar W in this COSAFA Cup Women 2024 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Madagascar W
20%
Draws
34%
Mauritius W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Madagascar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Madagascar W have won more games recently than Mauritius W.
  • Madagascar W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Madagascar W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Madagascar W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Madagascar W Clean Sheet 68%
Mauritius W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madagascar W Mauritius W
Matches Played 19 23
Wins 7 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.37 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 4.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2024 COSAFA Cup Women
Madagascar W vs Mauritius W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madagascar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Razazaharonavana M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mamonjy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Mauritius W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gopal J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madagascar W 95 / 100
Mauritius W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madagascar W Mauritius W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madagascar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mauritius W conceded in 96% of 23 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Madagascar W scored in 63% of their last 19 outings.

Recent resilience: Madagascar W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madagascar W VS Mauritius W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Madagascar W

(Home)
09 Jun
Madagascar W
1 : 0
South Sudan W
06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1
Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1
Madagascar W
28 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 0
Botswana W
Page 1 of 4

Mauritius W

(Away)
08 Oct
Mauritius W
0 : 3
Ghana W
08 Jun
Djibouti W
0 : 1
Mauritius W
04 Jun
Mauritius W
2 : 1
Djibouti W
28 Oct
Mauritius W
0 : 9
Malawi W
26 Oct
Botswana W
5 : 0
Mauritius W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Namibia W 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Eswatini W 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Seychelles W 3 0 0 3 1:21 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 1 0 11:1 7
2 Botswana W 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 Madagascar W 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
4 Mauritius W 3 0 0 3 1:19 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Comoros W 2 1 0 1 3:8 3
3 Angola W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mozambique W 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Zimbabwe W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
3 Lesotho W 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)