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Madang Fox vs Central Sport

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Malagian V.
4'
Malagian N.
19'
Angongi D.

AI Match Summary

Central Sport in this OFC Champions League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Central Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Madang Fox
15%
Draws
65%
Central Sport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Central Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Madang Fox haven't matched Central Sport's recent run of results.
  • Central Sport are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2017 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 79%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Madang Fox Clean Sheet 10%
Central Sport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madang Fox Central Sport
Matches Played 6 7
Wins 1 4
Draws 0 1
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.5 3.43
Goals Conceded 4.17 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 3.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2017 OFC Champions League
Madang Fox vs Central Sport
3:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madang Fox Compare

Top Goalscorer Malagian V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pohei E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Central Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cifuentes D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.25
Avg xA / game 1.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madang Fox 10 / 100
Central Sport 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madang Fox Central Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 10.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Madang Fox scored in 67% of their last 6 outings.

Central Sport let in goals in 71% of their last 7 matches.

Madang Fox went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madang Fox VS Central Sport
1.5 Goals Scored 3
4.17 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
83% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Madang Fox

(Home)
03 Mar
Madang Fox
1 : 2
Venus
28 Feb
Auckland City
5 : 0
Madang Fox
25 Feb
Lautoka
3 : 1
Madang Fox
03 Mar
Magenta
5 : 0
Madang Fox
28 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
3 : 4
Madang Fox
Page 1 of 2

Central Sport

(Away)
08 Apr
Central Sport
0 : 8
Magenta
16 Feb
Lautoka
2 : 2
Central Sport
13 Feb
Morobe Wawens
0 : 7
Central Sport
10 Feb
Central Sport
3 : 2
Henderson Eels
03 Mar
Central Sport
3 : 0
Lupe ole Soaga
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magenta 3 3 0 0 11:3 9
2 Central Sport 3 2 0 1 12:7 6
3 Madang Fox 3 1 0 2 7:15 3
4 PNG Hekari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 3 0 0 15:2 9
2 Hienghene Sport 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Ba 3 1 1 1 2:9 4
4 Puaikura 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 15:1 9
2 Western United 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Lae City 3 1 0 2 8:9 3
4 Malampa Revivors 3 0 0 3 3:18 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tefana 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Marist 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Rewa 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)