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Madang Fox vs Venus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tehau T.
29'
Tamatai T.
29' Event
Hans N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Venus in this OFC Champions League 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Madang Fox
15%
Draws
0%
Venus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madang Fox

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Madang Fox haven't matched Venus's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Venus's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Madang Fox Clean Sheet 10%
Venus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madang Fox Venus
Matches Played 6 24
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 4.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 2.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2018 OFC Champions League
Madang Fox vs Venus
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madang Fox Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Venus Compare

Top Goalscorer Tehau T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madang Fox 10 / 100
Venus 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madang Fox Venus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venus's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Madang Fox's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Venus let in goals in 71% of their last 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Madang Fox VS Venus
0.67 Goals Scored 1.75
3.33 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Madang Fox

(Home)
03 Mar
Madang Fox
1 : 2
Venus
28 Feb
Auckland City
5 : 0
Madang Fox
25 Feb
Lautoka
3 : 1
Madang Fox
03 Mar
Magenta
5 : 0
Madang Fox
28 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
3 : 4
Madang Fox
Page 1 of 2

Venus

(Away)
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Central Coast
3 : 0
Venus
10 Aug
Venus
0 : 1
Tiga Sport
30 Oct
Venus
0 : 3
Belfort
17 Aug
Venus
0 : 3
Auckland City
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nalkutan 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Lae City 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Ba 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Dragon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 Solomon Warriors 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
4 Lossi 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Lautoka 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Venus 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Madang Fox 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 2 1 0 13:3 7
2 Marist 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Magenta 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)