Sport Picks
Madani vs Ahli Khartoum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Sudan
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Madani and Ahli Khartoum finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madani.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Madani carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Madani a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Madani have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Madani Clean Sheet 20%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Madani | Ahli Khartoum |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 32 |
| Wins | 23 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Madani
1:4
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Madani vs Ahli Khartoum
3:0
Feb 2, 2025 Premier League
Madani vs Ahli Khartoum
1:0
Jan 16, 2025 Premier League
Madani vs Ahli Khartoum
2:0
Nov 18, 2017 Premier League
Madani vs Ahli Khartoum
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Madani 85 / 100
Ahli Khartoum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Madani Ahli Khartoum
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Madani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Madani scored in 82% of their last 38 games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Ahli Khartoum conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.
Madani has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Madani VS Ahli Khartoum
2.25 Goals Scored 0.83
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Madani
(Home) 12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0 Madani
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2 Tusker
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2 Madani
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
02 Jun
Al Hilal Omdurman II
2 : 0 Madani
Page 1 of 8
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2 Tusker
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
29 May
Madani
3 : 3 Hay Al Wadi
24 May
Madani
2 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
15 May
Madani
1 : 3 Al Merreikh II
Page 1 of 5
Ahli Khartoum
(Away) 13 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 1 Al Hilal Manaqil
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
06 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5 Merikh Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0 Rabita Kosti
27 Jan
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 4 Madani
Page 1 of 7
23 Jan
Al Hilal Manaqil
3 : 1 Ahli Khartoum
20 Jan
Umm Mughad
2 : 2 Ahli Khartoum
16 Jan
Merikh Kosti
0 : 0 Ahli Khartoum
12 Jan
Rabita Kosti
1 : 0 Ahli Khartoum
07 Jan
Madani
3 : 0 Ahli Khartoum
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Omdurman II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Hilal Alsahil | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Taqadom | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Al Mergheni | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 6 | Kober | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madani | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Umm Mughad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Hilal Manaqil | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rabita Kosti | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Ahli Khartoum | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 6 | Merikh Kosti | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Merreikh II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Alfalah Atbra | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Saham Ad Damer | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Hilal Karima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 5 | Alamal SC Atbara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Ahly Merowe | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hilal El-Fasher | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Hay Al Wadi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 3 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Al Fajr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 5 | Zamala Ruwaba | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 6 | Al Merreikh Obeid | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:20 | 10 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
