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Madani vs Al-Hilal Omdurman

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Adetunji S.
67' Event
Qadir A.

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 game between Madani and Al-Hilal Omdurman finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Madani
40%
Draws
29%
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Hilal Omdurman's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Madani have produced (1.86).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Cup games in CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Madani Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madani Al-Hilal Omdurman
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 21 21
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.86 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Madani vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
1:1
Jul 10, 2025 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Madani
0:0
Nov 15, 2017 Premier League
Madani vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
0:2
Apr 28, 2017 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Madani
1:1
Jul 29, 2016 Premier League
Madani vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madani Compare

Top Goalscorer Qadir A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.93

Al-Hilal Omdurman Compare

Top Goalscorer Adetunji S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madani 42 / 100
Al-Hilal Omdurman 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madani Al-Hilal Omdurman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madani's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Al-Hilal Omdurman has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Madani has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Madani VS Al-Hilal Omdurman
1.86 Goals Scored 2.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Singida Black Stars32103:17
2Police FC32017:26
3Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)31116:24
4Garde-Cotes30030:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APR32105:17
2Kinondoni MC32105:37
3Mlandege31025:53
4Bumamuru30030:60
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman31205:35
2Mogadishu City31203:25
3Madani30212:32
4Kator30211:32