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Madani vs Al-Mergheni

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Madani and Al-Mergheni finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Madani
35%
Draws
22%
Al-Mergheni
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Madani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Madani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Madani taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Madani have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Madani Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madani Al-Mergheni
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 4
Draws 6 14
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.67 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Premier League
Madani vs Al-Mergheni
0:0
Jul 27, 2015 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Madani
0:2
Feb 23, 2015 Premier League
Madani vs Al-Mergheni
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madani 85 / 100
Al-Mergheni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madani Al-Mergheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madani's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al-Mergheni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Madani stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Madani VS Al-Mergheni
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Madani

(Home)
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2
Madani
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1
Umm Mughad
02 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
2 : 0
Madani
29 May
Madani
3 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
24 May
Madani
2 : 0
Alfalah Atbra
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Al-Mergheni

(Away)
14 Feb
Al-Mergheni
1 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
11 Feb
Al-Mergheni
1 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
07 Feb
Kober
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
02 Feb
Al Taqadom
2 : 2
Al-Mergheni
28 Jan
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 7 4 2 1 15:4 14
2 Al-Merreikh 7 4 2 1 7:5 14
3 Madani 7 4 2 1 8:2 14
4 Zamala Ruwaba 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
5 Alamal SC Atbara 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Hay Al Wadi 7 1 4 2 5:8 7
7 Al-Mergheni 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
8 Al-Merreikh Obeid 7 0 1 6 2:15 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)