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Madani vs Al Merreikh II

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Madani Logo

Madani

1 - 3
FT
Al Merreikh II Logo

Al Merreikh II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Merreikh II in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Merreikh II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Madani
20%
Draws
56%
Al Merreikh II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Merreikh II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Madani lately — more wins on the board than Al Merreikh II.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Al Merreikh II taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Madani Clean Sheet 10%
Al Merreikh II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madani Al Merreikh II
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 1.67 2.12
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Premier League
Madani vs Al Merreikh II
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madani 10 / 100
Al Merreikh II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madani Al Merreikh II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Merreikh II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madani found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Madani stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Merreikh II let in goals in 53% of their last 17 matches.

Scoring Trends

Madani VS Al Merreikh II
2 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Madani

(Home)
12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0
Madani
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2
Tusker
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2
Madani
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1
Umm Mughad
02 Jun
Al Hilal Omdurman II
2 : 0
Madani
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Al Merreikh II

(Away)
10 Jun
Al Hilal Omdurman II
1 : 0
Al Merreikh II
06 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
0 : 1
Al Merreikh II
01 Jun
Al Merreikh II
4 : 0
Hay Al Wadi
29 May
Al Merreikh II
6 : 0
Alfalah Atbra
23 May
Al Merreikh II
2 : 0
Hilal El-Fasher
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman II 7 7 0 0 16:1 21
2 Al Merreikh II 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Hilal Alsahil 7 3 2 2 10:6 11
4 Madani 7 3 2 2 13:11 11
5 Umm Mughad 7 3 0 4 10:15 9
6 Hilal El-Fasher 7 1 2 4 4:7 5
7 Hay Al Wadi 7 1 2 4 6:14 5
8 Alfalah Atbra 7 0 0 7 2:24 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)