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Madani vs Hay Al Wadi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Madani in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Madani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Madani
35%
Draws
32%
Hay Al Wadi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Madani lately — more wins on the board than Hay Al Wadi.
  • Model gives Madani a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Madani Clean Sheet 17%
Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madani Hay Al Wadi
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premier League
Madani vs Hay Al Wadi
3:3
Jul 19, 2025 Premier League
Madani vs Hay Al Wadi
3:0
Nov 2, 2017 Premier League
Madani vs Hay Al Wadi
1:0
Apr 9, 2017 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Madani
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madani 66 / 100
Hay Al Wadi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madani Hay Al Wadi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madani found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Hay Al Wadi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Madani stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madani VS Hay Al Wadi
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Madani

(Home)
12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0
Madani
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2
Tusker
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2
Madani
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1
Umm Mughad
02 Jun
Al Hilal Omdurman II
2 : 0
Madani
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Hay Al Wadi

(Away)
09 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
0 : 0
Hay Al Wadi
06 Jun
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
01 Jun
Al Merreikh II
4 : 0
Hay Al Wadi
29 May
Madani
3 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
23 May
Hay Al Wadi
0 : 2
Hilal Alsahil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 7 4 2 1 15:4 14
2 Al Merreikh 7 4 2 1 7:5 14
3 Madani 7 4 2 1 8:2 14
4 Zamala Ruwaba 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
5 Alamal SC Atbara 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Hay Al Wadi 7 1 4 2 5:8 7
7 Al Mergheni 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
8 Al Merreikh Obeid 7 0 1 6 2:15 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)