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Madani vs Merikh Kosti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Madani and Merikh Kosti finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Madani
30%
Draws
31%
Merikh Kosti
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Madani come out ahead of Merikh Kosti on wins alone.
  • Madani are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Madani Clean Sheet 20%
Merikh Kosti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madani Merikh Kosti
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.69 0.8
Goals Conceded 1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Madani
2:3
Jan 19, 2026 Premier League
Madani vs Merikh Kosti
2:0
Sep 27, 2017 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Madani
2:0
Feb 13, 2017 Premier League
Madani vs Merikh Kosti
1:0
Sep 6, 2016 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Madani
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madani 58 / 100
Merikh Kosti 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madani Merikh Kosti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Madani scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Merikh Kosti let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Madani stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madani VS Merikh Kosti
2.25 Goals Scored 1.17
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Madani

(Home)
12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0
Madani
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2
Tusker
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2
Madani
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1
Umm Mughad
02 Jun
Al Hilal Omdurman II
2 : 0
Madani
Page 1 of 7

Merikh Kosti

(Away)
13 Feb
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2
Umm Mughad
10 Feb
Merikh Kosti
2 : 3
Madani
06 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5
Merikh Kosti
02 Feb
Al Hilal Manaqil
0 : 0
Merikh Kosti
29 Jan
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2
Rabita Kosti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman II 10 6 4 0 17:5 22
2 Hilal Alsahil 10 5 4 1 13:6 19
3 Al Shorta 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Al Taqadom 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Al Mergheni 10 0 7 3 9:14 7
6 Kober 10 1 2 7 3:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madani 10 10 0 0 24:6 30
2 Umm Mughad 10 5 3 2 18:8 18
3 Al Hilal Manaqil 10 3 5 2 10:7 14
4 Rabita Kosti 10 3 1 6 7:14 10
5 Ahli Khartoum 10 1 3 6 7:21 6
6 Merikh Kosti 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Merreikh II 10 6 4 0 15:7 22
2 Alfalah Atbra 10 3 4 3 5:4 13
3 Al Saham Ad Damer 10 2 6 2 10:9 12
4 Al Hilal Karima 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
5 Alamal SC Atbara 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
6 Al Ahly Merowe 10 1 6 3 6:8 9
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilal El-Fasher 10 5 4 1 11:7 19
2 Hay Al Wadi 10 4 3 3 14:13 15
3 Haidob Al Nuhod 10 4 3 3 13:8 15
4 Al Fajr 10 3 3 4 16:18 12
5 Zamala Ruwaba 10 3 2 5 11:13 11
6 Al Merreikh Obeid 10 3 1 6 14:20 10
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)