Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Madani in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Madani.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umm Mughad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Madani lately — more wins on the board than Umm Mughad.
- Model gives Madani a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Madani here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Madani Clean Sheet 17%
Umm Mughad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Madani | Umm Mughad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 23 |
| Wins | 21 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 5, 2026 Premier League
Madani vs Umm Mughad
3:1
Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Madani vs Umm Mughad
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Umm Mughad vs Madani
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Madani 75 / 100
Umm Mughad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Madani Umm Mughad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Madani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.
Madani found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).
Umm Mughad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 23 matches.
Recent resilience: Madani stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Madani VS Umm Mughad
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Madani
(Home) 12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0 Madani
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2 Tusker
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2 Madani
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
02 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
2 : 0 Madani
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06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2 Tusker
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
29 May
Madani
3 : 3 Hay Al Wadi
24 May
Madani
2 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
15 May
Madani
1 : 3 Al-Merreikh II
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Umm Mughad
(Away) 09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0 Umm Mughad
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
24 May
Umm Mughad
0 : 3 Al-Hilal Omdurman II
Page 1 of 5
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0 Umm Mughad
20 May
Al-Merreikh II
5 : 2 Umm Mughad
13 Feb
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Hilal Alsahil | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Taqadom | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Al-Mergheni | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 6 | Kober | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madani | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Umm Mughad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Hilal Manaqil | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rabita Kosti | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Ahli Khartoum | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 6 | Merikh Kosti | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Merreikh II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Alfalah Atbra | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Saham Ad Damer | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Hilal Karima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 5 | Alamal SC Atbara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hilal El-Fasher | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Hay Al Wadi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 3 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Al Fajr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 5 | Zamala Ruwaba | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 6 | Al-Merreikh Obeid | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:20 | 10 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
