Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Madla IL vs Vag

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kovac A.
69' Event
Nowitzki A.
77' Event
Soras L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Madla IL and Vag finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madla IL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Madla IL
15%
Draws
16%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madla IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Madla IL come out ahead of Vag on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Madla IL's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 16%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madla IL Vag
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 2
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.45 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Madla IL
2:3
Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Madla IL vs Vag
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Madla IL
2:0
Jun 14, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Madla IL vs Vag
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madla IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowitzki A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soras L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovac A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madla IL 84 / 100
Vag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madla IL Vag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madla IL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Madla IL scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Vag conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Madla IL stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madla IL VS Vag
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Madla IL

(Home)
05 Sept
Flekkeroy
0 : 2
Madla IL
31 Aug
Madla IL
4 : 0
Odds BK 2
22 Aug
Madla IL
3 : 2
Vidar
17 Aug
Viking 2
1 : 1
Madla IL
08 Aug
Madla IL
4 : 3
Vindbjart
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Vag

(Away)
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
30 Aug
Hinna
3 : 0
Vag
22 Aug
Vag
2 : 5
Egersund
15 Aug
Vag
1 : 2
Mandalskameratene
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
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