Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Madla IL vs Vag

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kovac A.
69' Event
Nowitzki A.
77' Event
Soras L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Madla IL and Vag finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madla IL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Madla IL
17%
Draws
13%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Madla IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Madla IL come out ahead of Vag on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Madla IL's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 20%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madla IL Vag
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 2
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Madla IL vs Vag
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Madla IL
2:0
Jun 14, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Madla IL vs Vag
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madla IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowitzki A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soras L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovac A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madla IL 67 / 100
Vag 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madla IL Vag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Madla IL scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Vag conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Madla IL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madla IL VS Vag
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%