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Madridejos vs Atletico Ibanes

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 game between Madridejos and Atletico Ibanes finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Madridejos
20%
Draws
51%
Atletico Ibanes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Ibanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Madridejos and Atletico Ibanes close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Win probability leans Madridejos's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Madridejos Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Ibanes Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madridejos Atletico Ibanes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 14
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Atletico Ibanes vs Madridejos
2:0
Apr 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Madridejos vs Atletico Ibanes
1:1
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Madridejos vs Atletico Ibanes
0:2
Sep 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Atletico Ibanes vs Madridejos
3:0
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Atletico Ibanes vs Madridejos
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madridejos 36 / 100
Atletico Ibanes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madridejos Atletico Ibanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ibanes let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Madridejos scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Madridejos has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Madridejos VS Atletico Ibanes
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Madridejos

(Home)
03 Jun
Madridejos
4 : 2
Manzanares
30 May
La Solana
3 : 2
Madridejos
23 May
Madridejos
2 : 3
Almagro
15 May
Atletico Ibanes
2 : 0
Madridejos
08 May
Madridejos
1 : 1
UD Almansa
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Atletico Ibanes

(Away)
05 Jun
Azuqueca
3 : 0
Atletico Ibanes
29 May
Atletico Ibanes
2 : 3
Illescas
23 May
Conquense
2 : 2
Atletico Ibanes
15 May
Atletico Ibanes
2 : 0
Madridejos
09 May
CD Pedroneras
0 : 1
Atletico Ibanes
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