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Madura United vs PSBS Biak Numfor

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan
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Match Events

23'
Gwijangge S.
35'
Junior Brandao
37'
Sub
Gwijangge S. In: Siregar R.
Out: Gwijangge S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Madura United
15%
Draws
0%
PSBS Biak Numfor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madura United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Madura United lately — more wins on the board than PSBS Biak Numfor.
  • Model gives Madura United a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Madura United Clean Sheet 20%
PSBS Biak Numfor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madura United PSBS Biak Numfor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 3
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.33 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.6 3.34
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs PSBS Biak Numfor
0:0
Sep 25, 2025 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Madura United
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs PSBS Biak Numfor
0:0
Sep 17, 2024 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Madura United
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madura United 85 / 100
PSBS Biak Numfor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madura United PSBS Biak Numfor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madura United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSBS Biak Numfor has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Madura United stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: PSBS Biak Numfor registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Madura United's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Madura United VS PSBS Biak Numfor
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 5.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Madura United

(Home)
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1
PSIM Yogyakarta
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3
Madura United
06 Sept
Madura United
2 : 0
Persijap Jepara
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3
Madura United
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
Page 1 of 6

PSBS Biak Numfor

(Away)
27 Sept
Persela Lamongan
6 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
20 Sept
Persis Solo
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
13 Sept
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5
Deltras Sidoarjo
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
15 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
2 : 5
Arema FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)