Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mafra U19 vs Santa Clara U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Luiz Otavio
68' Event
Franco Z.

AI Match Summary

Santa Clara U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Clara U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mafra U19
30%
Draws
33%
Santa Clara U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mafra U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Clara U19 lately — more wins on the board than Mafra U19.
  • Win probability leans Santa Clara U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Santa Clara U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mafra U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Clara U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mafra U19 Santa Clara U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Santa Clara U19 vs Mafra U19
7:0
Dec 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Santa Clara U19
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Santa Clara U19 vs Mafra U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mafra U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Santa Clara U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Otavio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Franco Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mafra U19 10 / 100
Santa Clara U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mafra U19 Santa Clara U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Clara U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Mafra U19's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Santa Clara U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Mafra U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mafra U19 VS Santa Clara U19
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0
Mafra U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2
Mafra U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Mafra U19
Page 1 of 6

Santa Clara U19

(Away)
26 Sept
Santa Clara U19
1 : 1
Alverca U19
19 Sept
Oriental U19
2 : 1
Santa Clara U19
12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0
Mafra U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
15 Aug
Casa Pia U19
2 : 0
Santa Clara U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)