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Mafra vs Oriental Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
85' Event

AI Match Summary

Mafra in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mafra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mafra
20%
Draws
29%
Oriental
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mafra lately — more wins on the board than Oriental.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Mafra taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mafra Clean Sheet 15%
Oriental Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mafra Oriental
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Mafra vs Oriental
2:0
Mar 16, 2016 Liga Portugal 2
Oriental vs Mafra
0:1
Oct 31, 2015 Liga Portugal 2
Mafra vs Oriental
1:0
May 4, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Mafra vs Oriental
0:1
Mar 16, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Oriental vs Mafra
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mafra 48 / 100
Oriental 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mafra Oriental

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mafra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mafra scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Oriental's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Mafra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mafra VS Oriental
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0
Covilha
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
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Oriental

(Away)
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1
Serpa
12 Apr
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Oriental
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2
Lagoa
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2
Alverca B
15 Mar
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0
Oriental
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